All posts by Ulf Erlingsson

PhD in Physical Geography, former environmental consultant in Scandinavia and Central America, researcher on paleogeography and the end of the ice age, and of littoral processes and sediment. Was National Globalizations Issues Coordinator for Kucinich for President 2004. Believe in Liberal Democracy with strong rule of law and respect for human rights, including minority rights, as a condition for peace and prosperity. Opposed to socialism, since socialism typically fails to protect fundamental human rights of privacy and property, and thus leads to corruption and the concentration of power.

Putin wants Greece

Today the Greek people have voted whether to accept an economic help package from the EU and IMF. Judging from the incompetent way in which the marxist PM Tsipras has managed the negotiations, and now called this referendum in which he encouraged people to vote ‘no’, coupled with his attitude that Greece can get help from Russia and China instead, I cannot but suspect that the whole game plan from Tsipras has been all along to bring Greece out of Europe, and into the bosom of Putin’s neofascist Russia.

For Putin it would be an enormous geopolitical victory to get Greece as an ally; the biggest geopolitical victory since conquering Ingermanland from Sweden so that they could build St. Petersburg there 300 years ago. That victory gave Russia an access to the sea in the west, so that could build a Baltic Sea navy. Putin has now conquered part of Ukraine so that he can keep the navy base in Sevastopol, Crimea, but it is still cut off from the world oceans by the Bosporus, through Turkey. For that reason he has for years been striving to get a navy base overseas, in Libya, in Syria, in Yemen, in Venezuela. All of those have been frustrated, except Venezuela where it remains viable as long as Maduro manages to hold on to power – which he does at gunpoint. If he manages to lodge Greece away from the EU and later from NATO, he would drastically change the balance of power in the Mediterranean.

Russia aims to have a global naval presence by 2020, but after losing access to several countries where they had planned to build the necessary overseas navy bases, civil war broke out in those countries. What a coincidence! Black marks Russia and its closest allies.
Russia aims to have a global naval presence by 2020, but after losing access to several countries where they had planned to build the necessary overseas navy bases, civil war broke out in those countries. What a coincidence! Black marks Russia and its closest allies.

COMUNICADO DE OPERACIÓN LIBERTAD VENEZUELA (OLV)

MIERCOLES 1 DE JULIO 2015 – Operación Libertad Venezuela fue creado como una red de resistencia anónima el 9 de febrero del 2011, por 10 personas representando diferentes sectores y grupos ya en existencia. Nuestras voceras son María Conchita Alonso y Ana Díaz. Durante estos años OLV ha llegado a crear enlaces con casi todos los grupos en la lucha. La misión es unir a los venezolanos en una estrategia viable para salir de la dictadura castrocomunista. Con el pasar del tiempo hemos crecido progresivamente, en casi cada estado contamos con varios administradores, entre ellos hay activistas, otros que son coordinadores y también aquellos que hacen el trabajo de publicar constantemente durante todo el día. Asimismo contamos con admins que se encuentran fuera del país, buscando siempre difundir en todos los países y en todos los idiomas lo que ocurre y además dar a conocer el mensaje de la resistencia. Desde los inicios contamos con la ayuda y apoyo del Dr. Ulf Erlingsson como asesor estratégico y rechazamos categóricamente todos los rumores que han sido difundidos en su contra. Es muy importante que todos conozcan que la meta de OLV ha sido y seguirá siendo derrocar la dictadura, expulsar a los invasores extranjeros, y restablecer la soberanía y la democracia en Venezuela. Dentro de este orden de ideas, es importante mencionar que OLV ha asumido una posición clara en contra de la Dictadura, considerando que en Venezuela se vive una Dictadura electoral que se ha logrado mantener a través del fraude electoral, el abuso de poder y otras continuas violaciones a la Constitución de la República; con el objetivo de exponer la Dictadura electoral a nivel nacional e internacional se ha considerado el uso de la Consigna “Exigimos Elecciones Auténticas”, ya que elecciones auténticas representan el último paso para lograr la democracia en nuestro país. Es importante aclarar que OLV no acepta ni avala elecciones mientras existan Presos Políticos, censura en los medios, el poder concentrado en uno solo, usurpación del cargo de Presidente, criminalización de la protesta ciudadana, invasión del régimen castrocomunista y demás violaciones a la Constitución de la República y a los derechos humanos, cometidos por este Régimen desde 1999. Olv se mantiene en la lucha por la Libertad de Venezuela hasta lograr la meta.

El final del Socialismo del Siglo XXI

Venezuela es hoy gobernada (aunque algunos dicen no gobernada) por una alianza de un títere de Cuba comunista (el presidente, Nicolás Maduro), y de un capo de la droga (el presidente de la Asamblea, Diosdado Cabello). Los EEUU sabe que el Sr. Cabello es el narco quizás más importante en el mundo, y van a ir tras él con todo el peso de la Ley. Cabello a su vez sabe que Maduro es incompetente, y que su régimen está condenado al fracaso. Venezuela carece por completo de una base económica, aparte de la exportación de petróleo, y los precios del petróleo no se van a recuperar en el corto plazo. ¿Cuáles son las opciones de Cabello? Aparte de pasar el resto de su vida en la cárcel, solo tiene dos opciones, tomar el poder o solicitar asilo.

En ajedrez, el final se refiere a la tercera etapa del juego, después de la apertura y el medio juego, en la cual quedan pocas piezas sobre el tablero y el desenlace es inminente. (Wikipedia)

Según información divulgada ha estado recientemente en Brasil y Haití. En Brasil se reunió supuestamente con la presidenta Dilma Rousseff, y en Haití con Thomas Shannon, Consejero del Secretario de Estado de los EEUU. Estos viajes no son típicos para alguien que esté planeando un golpe de Estado; más bien, parecen los movimientos de alguien que planea una salida negociada. Esa salida podría ser entregar a Maduro a los EEUU, a cambio de una jubilación tranquila en Brasil.

Thomas Shannon, el presidente de Haití Michell Martelli, canciller venezolana Delcy Rodríguez, y Diosdado Cabello, en Haití
Thomas Shannon, el presidente de Haití Michell Martelli, canciller venezolana Delcy Rodríguez, y Diosdado Cabello, en Haití

Sin embargo, rumores dicen que nunca fue a Brasil, que fueron fotos manipuladas difundidas para esconder el viaje a Haití. También dice que de hecho estaba negociando darle una estocada a Maduro con un gobierno de transición y la protección de sí mismo. Sin embargo, esto no se lo puede ofrecer el gobierno de Estados Unidos, ya que el sistema judicial en los EEUU no obedece a la rama ejecutiva, y él está investigado por tráfico de drogas. Mi sospecha es que mientras que Cabello buscaba un acuerdo, Shannon se aprovechó de la oportunidad para pasar unos mensajes a Cabello, de qué no puedo saber pero si hubiera sido yo, me aprovecharía de la oportunidad de dejarle saber algo sobre las pruebas contundentes que tienen contra él en la investigación de narcotráfico.

Is Cabello negotiating with USA to stab Maduro in his back? Is Maduro through Castro negotiating with USA to stab Cabello in HIS back?
¿Cabello está negociando con EEUU a espaldas de Maduro? ¿Maduro a través de Castro está negociando con EEUU a espaldas de Cabello?

Al mismo tiempo, el acercamiento entre Cuba y EEUU debe ser visto por Cabello como un posible intento de dejar a Maduro traicionar a él. Mientras el régimen era sostenible los aliados se mantuvieron, pero cuando se acerca el final todas las apuestas desaparecen. ¿Traicionará uno al otro, o los dos se hundirán con el mismo barco?

Diosdado Cabello’s End Game

Update 2015-06-15: Rumors say that the photos from Brazil were fake, that he didn’t go to that country, only to Haiti, and that he indeed was negotiating stabbing Maduro in his back, with a transitional government and protection for himself. Which obviously the U.S. government cannot give, since the judicial system in the U.S. does not obey the executive branch, and he is investigated for drug trafficking.

Venezuela is today governed (or some say not) by an un-holy alliance of a puppet of communist Cuba (the president, Nicolás Maduro), and of a drug king-pin (the speaker of the parliament, Diosdado Cabello). The U.S. knows that Mr. Cabello is the perhaps most important narco in the world today, and they will be going after him with all they’ve got. Cabello in turn knows that Maduro is incompetent, and that his regime is doomed to fail. Venezuela completely lacks an economical foundation apart from exporting petroleum, and the oil prices are not going to recover any time soon. So what are Cabello’s options? Short of spending the rest of his life in prison, he only has two, take power or seek asylum.

He has recently been traveling to Brazil and Haiti. In Brasil he met with President Dilma Rousseff, and in Haiti with Thomas Shannon, Counselor of the Secretary of State of the USA. These trips don’t sound like those made by someone planning a coup d’État; rather, they seem like the moves of someone planning a negotiated exit. That exit might be to hand over Maduro to the U.S., in return for a peaceful retirement in Brazil. Only time will tell.

Thomas Shannon, President of Haiti Michell Martelli, Venezuelan Foreign Minister Delcy Rodríguez, and Diosdado Cabello
Thomas Shannon, President of Haiti Michell Martelli, Venezuelan Foreign Minister Delcy Rodríguez, and Diosdado Cabello

At the same time the rapprochement between Cuba and USA must be seen by Cabello as a possible intent to have Maduro stab him in his back. As long as the regime was sustainable the un-holy alliance held up, but when it comes time for it to end, all bets are off. Will one betray the other, or will both go down together with the ship?

Is Cabello negotiating with USA to stab Maduro in his back? Is Maduro through Castro negotiating with USA to stab Cabello in HIS back?
Is Cabello negotiating with USA to stab Maduro in his back? Or is Maduro through Castro negotiating with USA to stab Cabello in his back? (The photo has been edited by the author.)

Virgen Mary appears to the hunger-strikers at the UN

The night between Wednesday and Thursday this week, between 2 and 3 AM, the Venezuelans in hunger strike in front of the UN building in New York, saw and photographed an appearance of Virgin Mary as “Divina Pastora“. Their demands are for liberty and democracy in Venezuela, the release of all political prisoners; the end of torture, repression, and censorship; free and genuine elections, and all other rights that are guaranteed by the UN declaration of Human Rights. Here is the picture that the photographer sent me, published here for the first time:

Foto © Eduardo Bavaresco, 2015
The HT of the hunger-strike is #HambreXLibertad, hunger for freedom. Photo © Eduardo Bavaresco, 2015

On Thursday the original hunger-striker, mayor of San Cristobal, Daniel Ceballos, ended his hunger strike when the regime agreed to release 11 students held as political prisoners. The non-violent resistance movement is still waiting for the names of those released.

Operación Libertad Venezuela

Operación Libertad Venezuela fue creado como una red de resistencia anónima el 9 de febrero del 2011, por 10 personas representando diferentes sectores y grupos ya en existencia. La meta es derrocar a la dictadura, asegurar que el poder queda en manos responsables, expulsar a los invasores extranjeros, y restablecer la soberanía y la democracia.

Durante estos años OLV ha llegado a crear enlaces con casi todos los grupos principales en la lucha. La misión es unir a los venezolanos en una estrategia viable para salir de la dictadura castrocomunista. Eso pasa por destruir sistemáticamente los pilares de soporte de la dictadura. Durante los acontecimientos en el país del 14 de abril del 2013, con su cobertura en tiempo real de las elecciones, OLV tomó un papel muy importante difundiendo y dando a conocer la realidad del país a un gran número de Venezolanos, siendo ese día uno de los días con mayor alcance entre los usuarios. Consideramos un logro el haber obligado a Capriles a no reconocer los resultados. Eso tenía como efecto que el pueblo saliera a la calle a reclamar su victoria. Cuando el régimen respondió con fuerza letal su carácter de dictadura fue revelado; y cuando Capriles desconvocó la marcha a CNE, la conchupancia de la oposición también fue desenmascarada. Desde ese evento el proceso político en Venezuela fue cambiado por siempre con mucha participación y trabajo de la red de OLV. Durante el resto de 2013 y entrando en 2014, se coordinaron y se hicieron varias protestas siendo las primeras organizadas y coordinadas desde OLV y después muchos siguieron y seguimos, haciendo uso de la estratégica lucha no-violenta.

La red de OLV ha crecido progresivamente, en cada estado se cuenta con varios admin, entre ellos hay activistas, otros que son coordinadores y también aquellos que hacen el trabajo de publicar constantemente durante todo el día. Asimismo se cuenta con admin que se encuentran fuera del país, buscando siempre difundir en todos los países y en todos los idiomas lo que ocurre y además dar a conocer el mensaje de la resistencia.

OLV cuenta con dos voceras, María Conchita Alonso y Ana Mercedes Diaz.

Logga för OLV
El símbolo de OLV

Russia’s global ambitions

Take a good look at the map below. It shows Russia’s existing and planned Navy Bases as of 2008, mapped together with wars and border conflicts in 2015. In 2008 Putin announced plans for navy bases in Libya, Syria, Yemen, and Venezuela. The first three had to be aborted due to the Arab Spring. Civil war erupted in Syria, and later in Libya and Yemen as well. Russia entered into an agreement with Iran to use one of their navy bases instead. Iran is supposedly helping the Houthi rebels in Yemen. A connection? And is there a similar link with the anti-US rebels in Libya? The other week top level Russian militaries visited Venezuela, a country dependent on Russian military expertise for its defense. In late May the regime publicly claimed sea areas off the disputed part of Guyana, and shortly after Putin appeared with dictator Maduro saying that Russia is defending Venezuela in case of an attack. The final hot spot on the map are some Japanese islands that Russia has occupied since WWII.

Russia aims to have a global naval presence by 2020, but after losing access to several countries where they had planned to build the necessary overseas navy bases, civil war broke out in those countries. What a coincidence! Black marks Russia and its closest allies.
Russia aims to have a global naval presence by 2020, but after losing access to several countries where they had planned to build the necessary overseas navy bases, civil war broke out in those countries. What a coincidence! Black marks Russia and its closest allies.

Apart from this Russian navy plan, China is also building up a global navy, with its own territorial disputes in the East China Sea and South China Sea. They have already completely covered 8 km2 of coral reefs with sand in order to create military bases in what the Philippines consider their waters, in the Spratly Islands. As was the case in the past millennia, at stake is the control over the trade routes on the seas.

USA must change drug policy for national security reasons

I argue that the War on Drugs has created a huge problem for the Americas. In the United States it has led to the creation of a large prison population, social conflicts, violence, a flood wave of illegal immigration, and lately a threat to national security. In Latin America it has led to the destruction of a normal economy, corruption, rampant crime, nations on the point of becoming failed states, the highest murder rates on the planet, and a decrease of the standard of living. How has this happened?

It seems clear that the drug trade just follows supply-and-demand economics. As long as there is demand at a given price point, the market will assure that there is supply. The U.S. policy is targeted at destroying the supply, which obviously is not going to work, ever. When the drug prices rise due to the war on drugs, the calculus for the farmer in the jungle changes in the wrong direction. Cultivating coca becomes more attractive, not less, compared to the alternative crops. To understand this we can look at the economical geography.

The center of the economy is USA, and to be precise, the central business district of New York: Wall Street. There are also second, third, forth level centers, and so on. The farther away from the center we go, the lower is the land value, and the higher is the cost of transportation to the center where the consumers and the demand is. This means that people live in the first ring outside the center, and commute to work. Farther outside, in the Midwest, is farmland for cultivating grains and potatoes, crops that are relatively bulky and expensive to transport long distances. Still farther away are the cattle ranches. Their goods have a higher value per pound, and can support the longer transport routes, while at the same time requiring large, low-value farmland for their production. That is, the farthest away we will find the crop with the largest land requirement, the lowest weight, or the highest price per unit weight, and that is capable of surviving the transport. Pepper from India is a good example. Cocaine from South America fits the same bill, and it means that coca is just about the only crop that a South American farmer can grow that will earn him hard cash from the high-rollers on Wall Street!

The more the DEA cracks down on the drug trade, the more the price rises, and the more attractive it becomes to grow and smuggle it. More money is brought in for protecting the business, which means more corruption, more weapons, more violence, all of which are costs of doing business for the narcos. The amount of money involved makes the GDP of many Latin American countries look like petty cash, which means that the narcos often can buy the police, the military, and even the presidency. With control over nations they can change international policy as well, and use the tools of sovereign states to challenge the national security of the USA. They have set up terrorist training camps, and they have most likely infiltrated terrorists into the United States already. All with money that American drug users willingly have given to them in exchange for chemicals that do damage to their brains. Incredible but true.

If cracking down on supply does not work, then what? It’s elementary, my dear Watson. It’s already been implemented in Sweden, for instance: All one has to do to kill a business is to remove the demand. In this case it’s all about treating the drug addicts so that they get over their addiction. Once their addiction is gone they will not buy drugs, and the cartels will eventually go bankrupt for lack of income. It’s so simple in theory, and it has succeeded in Sweden, so why hasn’t the U.S. implemented this policy?

Good question. Maybe it’s because of lobbyists who prefer solutions that generate violence without end, so that their clients can continue to sell weapons for ever and ever? Maybe it’s because the treatment has to be paid for by someone, and obviously the drug addicts are not going to want the treatment, much less want to pay for it. In Sweden health care is universal, paid for by taxes, so it makes economical sense for the insurer (the State) to treat a drug addict for his addiction now, at a lower cost, than have to treat him in the future for probably more serious things, plus have to spend large amounts on policing, legal system, prisons, and losses to crime, if he is not treated. Let me rephrase that.

In Sweden the cost of treatment and the cost of non-treatment are absorbed by the same entity, the State, which makes the cost-benefit of treatment attractive. In the U.S. the cost of treatment and the cost of non-treatment are absorbed by different entities, so there is no clear incentive for prevention. However, there may be no other choice left.

With floods of immigrants coming to the U.S. fleeing rampant drug violence in Latin America, with Venezuela at the threshold of becoming a failed state and risking a humanitarian catastrophe, with between a half dozen and a dozen democracies in Latin America having been turned into dictatorships by narcos, with infiltration of all the worst enemies of the U.S. in Latin America through these nations, with the risk of terrorism and nuclear proliferation in drug dictatorships, the national security threat is so great that I am postulating that compulsory treatment of drug addicts might be a matter of U.S. national security.

The Venezuelan resistance movement

The other day Reuters wrote an article called “Venezuelan ‘Resistance’ Movement Struggles to Bruise Maduro” (in Spanish here). Since they quoted me at the end I would like to clarify that their description of the resistance movement does not agree with how I see it. This is what they quoted me as saying:

Ulf Erlingsson, a Swede and former aid worker, helped found the [Operación Libertad Venezuela (‘Operation Freedom Venezuela‘)] web site four years ago after becoming convinced Venezuela was a nefarious influence.
“This is a criminal regime run by a foreign power, Cuba,” he told Reuters. “So there is nothing illegal in fighting them.”

The problem with this is that I all the time am talking about nonviolent action, as it has been described by Dr. Gene Sharp (@GeneSharpaei) of the Albert Einstein Institution, while Reuters in their text describe only a minority part of the resistance, the so-called ‘guarimberos’, those who block streets as a form of protest.

When we created Operación Libertad Venezuela (OLV) as a project for liberation of Venezuela from Cuba, the term “resistance” was chosen since it aptly reflects the fact that it is a foreign invasion (albeit implemented through deceit, blackmail, corruption, and assassinations, not through military might).

The nonviolent strategy of struggle was chosen since it was deemed the most likely to yield the desired victory. The strategy is based on undermining the power of the enemy, not confronting him openly. The resistance has won significant victories in these four years, by converting several views which used to be dismissed as “conspiracy theories” into generally accepted “truths”, thus defeating the state propaganda lie:

1. The revelation that Cuba is in a position of control over Venezuela effectively occupying the nation

2. The destruction of the propaganda lie that there is no election fraud in Venezuela

3. The revelation that Venezuela is an electoral dictatorship (i.e., the opposition yields to the fraud rather than fight to claim their victories)

All these are victories by the resistance. The first one in the list was won through a street occupation outside the Cuban embassy in Caracas, after Chávez had died in Cuba but the regime still insisted that he was alive, and forged his name on laws. The occupation forced the regime to stage the “return” of Chávez, and the continued pressure forced them to admit that Chávez was dead, and to hold elections on April 14, 2013.

Through the live election coverage by OLV on April 14th, organized by Ana Diaz (former number two in the Venezuelan election authority CNE, and spokesperson for OLV), the resistance was able to expose the election fraud (point 2 in the list above) and force the opposition candidate Henrique Capriles to not admit defeat (he had admitted defeat in the previous election where there also was fraud). This caused the people to take to the streets en masse, which the regime met with violence.

After 2 days Capriles told people to go home, and that he would fight the battle in court, where he duly lost and with that, let the whole thing run out in the sand.

When the resistance (which is comprised of many groups and individuals, all fighting for the same objective) convened a global day of demanding the truth on June 2, 2013, the opposition coalition MUD surreptitiously sabotaged the action, even though it was made to defend the victory of their candidate.

When a day of protests was convened inside Venezuela September 14 on the 5-month day of the election, called “Día de Furia” (Day of Fury, a name I proposed since it hints to the inevitability of justice), the MUD again sabotaged by sending out SMS messages to all their activists prohibiting them from either participating or forwarding the information about the protest. Albeit this time several persons forwarded the message to OLV, and OLV’s other spokesperson, singer and actress Maria Conchita Alonso, denounced this action proof in hand on a live TV show in Miami, the Bayly show. Myself I confronted a Venezuelan political consultant who said, when I kept insisting on an answer, that “of course they would do that”.

The Venezuelan opposition is clearly playing hand in hand with the dictatorship, which is why the resistance is the only possible road to liberation of the country. Not all in the opposition coalition are on the bandwagon, though; those who are presently in jail are most certainly not. It is not clear to me why those who disagree with the way MUD is run don’t leave MUD and set up camp separately. A friend of mine, political consultant Eric Ekvall (RIP) even suggested to Maria Corina Machado that she ought to leave MUD, but she has not done so. I know what her reply was but I am presuming it was said in confidence so I won’t repeat it, let me just say that I believe she has the best intentions and is effectively part of that broad informal coalition that I consider the “resistance”. And in my personal opinion so are her fellow politicians in MUD Leopoldo Lopez and Antonio Ledezma, both political prisoners at present.

So to sum up, the “resistance” in Venezuela to me is a broad coalition and includes millions of people, but only a tiny minority are openly exposing their participation. This is for self-preservation; the punishment from the state for being a dissenter is very severe. It would take a separate article just to start writing about that, let me just say that the majority of those in the visible core of the resistance have been victims of oppression for over a decade. Also, in the course of writing the Reuters article a number of the resistance members were murdered, but their families later denied that they were in the resistance, because they were threatened to be murdered they too if they said as much (in fact, one of them was murdered shortly before a planned interview with the Reuters reporter for the purpose of this article). The situation in Venezuela is very hard, and the Reuters article does not describe this reality in an unbiased way. Media who operate inside Venezuela (like Reuters) seem to have a very hard time to free themselves from the influence of the regime propaganda, unfortunately.

¿Fin de régimen en Venezuela?

La “biblia” de golpismo se llama “Coup d’Etat. A Practical Handbook” y fue escrito por Edward N. Luttwak en 1968 (“Golpe de Estado – un manual práctico”). Viene con un Apéndice A llamado “La economía de la represión” en lo cual el autor escribe (mi traducción): “Una vez ejecutado el golpe y establecido nuestro control sobre la burocracia y las fuerzas armadas, nuestra sobrevivencia a largo plaza dependerá en gran medida de nuestro manejo del problema de desarrollo económico. Desarrollo económico generalmente se considera algo bueno y casi todos quieren más de ello, pero para nosotros -el recién establecido gobierno de país X- la búsqueda del desarrollo económico será indeseable, ya que va en contra de nuestro objetivo principal: la estabilidad política.” ¿Como es eso? Para crear desarrollo se necesita invertir recursos, y eso baja el nivel de vida en el presente. Cuando el pueblo se pone descontento un régimen ilegítimo está en riesgo de caer, y solo puede sostenerse con su aparato de seguridad y propaganda, dice Luttwak.

Lo que hizo Chávez en Venezuela fue terminar con las inversiones y regalar dinero al pueblo en “misiones”. Eso rescató su régimen a corto plazo. A largo plazo obviamente era insostenible, pero el golpista militar de 1992 tuvo la suerte de morir antes, y dejó el problema en manos del colombiano Nicolás Maduro, quien usurpó el poder en Venezuela después de la muerte de Chávez en diciembre del 2012, falsificando su firma por 3 meses antes de llamar a elecciones, las cuales robó el 14 de abril del 2013. O sea, es totalmente ilegítimo como presidente. Su ilegitimidad se suma al problema económico. Solo puede sostenerse con represión y propaganda. Según Luttwak, la propaganda se refiere a toda la información y entretenimiento dirigido a distraer de las problemas; justificar los sacrificios; y convencer al pueblo que el liderazgo actual es el mejor posible. La represión se refiere a todo lo dirigido a reprimir actividades políticas con espionaje, infiltración y encarcelamiento; intimidación de las masas con el uso de fuerza; y evitar la circulación de información opuesta, con control de los medios, e impidiendo la discusión pública.

Hasta recientemente la propaganda del régimen venezolano ha sido muy profesional, pero desde unas semanas estamos viendo producciones patéticas, y estrategias totalmente absurdas. Se trata de la respuesta del régimen a las sanciones introducidas por presidente Obama en los EEUU contra funcionarios corruptos del régimen venezolano. Las reacciones del régimen han sido tan absurdas que solo aumenta el rechazo en la población, y sus producciones de propaganda han sido tan ridículas y patéticas que queda claro para todos que ya no disponen de personal profesional ni para eso. Como la represión y la propaganda son las partes claves del régimen para su sobrevivencia, la mala calidad en la propaganda ahora me indica que este régimen ya no cuenta ni con los recursos para defender su control del poder. Por eso yo no creo que este régimen va a durar mucho.