Honduras’s President: They plan a coup against me

Honduras’s newly elected president, Porfirio Lobo, claimed Wednesday that there are forces within Honduras that are planning a coup d’état against him. He named no one, but the local radio chain HRN said that three leaders in the president’s own party, the Nacionalistas, are behind it.

Last year then-president Manuel Zelaya from the liberal party was deposed and replaced by another liberal, after he had failed to heed orders from the Supreme Court to cease and desist in trying to overthrow the constitution of Honduras. President Lobo is seen by some as pursuing the same path as Zelaya. His own party is totally against that policy, much more so than the liberal party.

The Union Civica Democratica, UCD, says that these are very serious allegations, and express surprise because if someone is planning a coup d’état it is because they have control of the armed forces, which seems not to be the case.

Or could it simply be that Lobo has read my blog? And maybe got scared over my warnings that the next time a president is deposed it may be in a real military coup, and a bloody one at that? After all, given how much trouble Zelaya has caused, why would any real coupster ever want to leave a president alive again?

If this is the case, then Mr. Lobo, pay attention: You are getting paranoid. Stop looking for ghosts, and start taking care of the business of Honduras instead. There are many things to do. The investment climate must be improved, and that means making investors feel that Honduras is a safe and predictable country. You have to make them certain that democracy and the rule of law are for ever, and that nobody ever will succeed in making a coup, neither a self-coup nor a military coup.

Mr. Lobo, what you just did was perhaps the most stupid thing you possibly could have done in a hundred years.

3 thoughts on “Honduras’s President: They plan a coup against me”

  1. very sincere and interesting document. It explains everything very detailed , thank you.

    1. Well, I could have added that what might happen is that if, and I say IF, Lobo proposes a constituting constitutional assembly (“constituyente”) in whatever form or shape, then the attorney general will most certainly make a case against him, the court will most certainly decide just like it did against Zelaya, and if, again IF, Lobo insists like Zelaya did, then Lobo will most certainly get arrested and removed from the office of president. Again, this is IF Pepe Lobo behaves just like Zelaya did. He hasn’t yet, but he keeps saying things that suggest he plans to. His statement today should probably be seen as preparing the ground, as if daring the democratic institutions not to depose him because he will call it a “coup”. He seems to think that that would scare them. From what I hear I draw the opposite conclusion: They have no qualms against doing exactly the same with Lobo as they did with Zelaya, if Lobo behaves just like Zelaya did. But next time they may have learned a thing or two, so the world will not mistake it for a coup. Lobo would just be an epic fail, not a martyr.

  2. Pepe Lobo now says that the coup plans against him do not exist any more.

    The tragedy of this is that Pepe does not seem to understand what happened in his own country just a year ago: The president, Zelaya, attempted a coup d’état, and the judicial system said that what he has doing was unconstitutional. They ordered the military not to assist Zelaya, but to arrest him instead. Zelaya was not preparing for the free and fair elections; it was only after he had been removed from office that the electoral committee was given the funds necessary for holding the election, many many months later than they should have gotten them. It was not Zelaya that defended democracy, it was Micheletti. It was not Micheletti that was a coupster, it was Zelaya.

    Unless Pepe gets his history straight, he will not be able to figure out how to behave. He will continue to put his foot in his mouth over and over again. If he does not understand the principles of a constitutional democracy, he is likely to repeat Zelaya’s mistake, and attempt a coup d’état not knowing that he is attempting a coup d’état – and then the democratic institutions will again do their duty and stop the president, and the president will again believe that it is they who are doing a coup d’état, when it in reality is he who is the coupster. What a tragedy that would be.

    If Pepe had been a listener he could have been educated, but he seems not to pay attention; he seems surrounded by a small group of people engaged in group think, and the leader of the group seems to be the US ambassador, Hugo Llorens, who himself has not demonstrated much understanding of the inner workings of a democracy and the absolute necessity of following the law.

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